The break-up
of the Soviet Union was one of the most unusual
events in history. Never before had an
empire this powerful and vast given up its power and allowed the dissolution of
its internal core (the Soviet Union) and its tributary states (Eastern Europe)
so quickly and without a fight. The Ottoman empire went into a process of disintegration
that lasted several centuries and was punctuated by numerous wars, both with
western powers and Russia, and numerous struggles for national independence (Greece,
Serbia, Bulgaria). The Habsburg empire
dissolved after four years of the hitherto largest conflict in history. The
same is true of the Russian empire and the Hohenzollerns’. But the Soviet Empire
gave way almost entirely peacefully and without a fight. How did that happen?
A slender
volume by Wisła Suraska (How the SovietUnion disappeared, Duke University Press, 1998) tries to answer the question.
It is important to explain what the book is not. It is not a book about
Communism and economics. It does not try
to answer (at least, not directly) the question about successes and failures of
Communism nor does it deal with economics at all. It is remarkable that the
book does not contain a single number. It is a book written by a political
scientist and it focuses on internal political determinants of the Soviet collapse.
It is a very
well and clearly written volume. The key conclusion of Suraska, enounced in
italics in the last chapter, is that the break up is due to “the general
failure of communist regimes--their inability
to build a modern state” (p. 134). It is “the state weakness, rather than
its omnipotence [that] stalled communist project of modernization and, most notably,
Gorbachev’s perestroika” (p. 134). Lest somebody believe that Suraska is a
partisan of state power, let me explain that what she means is that the
arbitrary nature of Communist state, overseen by the Communist party, prevented
it from ever developing a responsible and impersonal machinery of Weberian
bureaucracy. Such a machinery that follows well-known and rational rules cannot
be established if the power is arbitrary. And without such a machinery, the project
of modernization is doomed.
But this
still does not explain why the country (the USSR) broke up. It broke up, she
argues, because of a Brezhnevite equilibrium that—lacking a functioning centrally-controlled
state apparatus and forsaking the use of terror—consisted in the creation of
territorially-based fiefdoms. The power at the center depended on having
peripheral supporters and these peripheral supporters gradually took over most
of the local (in the USSR case, republican) functions. They could be dislodged
only by the application of mass terror as when, under Stalin, the center
actively fought the creation of local centers of power, either by “purging” the
leaders or by shifting them constantly between the regions in order to prevent
accumulation of power. But Brezhnevite equilibrium consisted precisely in “decentralizing”
power to local “barons” who would then
support the faction in the center that gave them most power.
When Gorbachev
tried to recentralize decision-making in order to promote his reforms, he was
obstructed at all levels and eventually figured out that without the republican
support he could accomplish nothing. This is why, as Suraska writes, at the
last Party congress in 1991, he outbid his competitors (Yegor Ligachev) by formally
bringing all regional party bosses into the Politburo and thus effectively
confederalizing the Party and the country. But even that proved too little too
late as the largest unit, Russia under Yeltsin, became, together with the
Baltic republics, the most secessionist.
Suraska rightly
adds to this vertical de-concentration of power the ever-present wariness and
competition between the Party, the secret services (KGB) and the Army. The
triangular relationship where two actors try to weaken and control the third
contributed to the collapse. She sees the beginning of the end of the Army’s
role in Politburo’s decision, strongly promoted by Andropov (then the head of
KGB), not to intervene in Poland in 1980-81. Andropov’s positon (according to
the transcripts of the Politburo meetings) that “even if Poland falls under the
control of “Solidarity” …[non-intervention] will be” (p. 70) was grounded in
the belief that every Soviet foreign intervention (Hungary 1956, Czechoslovakia
1968) reinforced the power of the Army and thus, if KGB were ever come on top, Army
must not be in the driver’s seat.
The ultimate
weakness of the Party could be, as Suraska writes, seen in the final denouements
in the Soviet Union and Poland: in one case, the top party post went to a head
of the secret police, in the other case, to the head of the Army.
In perhaps
the most original insight, Suraska deals with the ideology of Gorbachev and the
first entirely Soviet-raised and bred generation that came to power in the
mid-1980s. They were influenced by post-Marxist thinking where democracy or its
absence were simple external (or non-essential) features: democracy was a sham
since the “real power” resides elsewhere. “Armed” with this belief and the 1970
ideas of convergence of the two systems plus (in my opinion) millenarian
Marxist view that Communism represents the future of mankind, they began to see
no significant contradictions between the two systems and trusted that even the
introduction of democracy would not affect their positions. Thus, in an ironic
twist, Suraska, who is thoroughly critical of both Marxist and post-Marxist
theories, credits the latter (p. 147)
for bringing to an end the Marxist-based regimes.
In the
penultimate chapter Suraska quickly and very critically reviews different theories
that purported to explain the Communist state: modernization theory,
totalitarianism, bureaucratic theory, are all found wanting. Suraska’s
conclusion, stated in the beginning of this text, is then expounded in the last
chapter revealingly entitled “Despotism and the modern state”. There, in a final note worth pointing out,
Suraska discusses Communist rejection of the state and its rules-bound procedures
(which make Communists ideological brethrens of anarchists) and compellingly argues
for the complementarity of “council (“soviet”)
democracy and central planning. Both eviscerate
the state, take over its functions, impose arbitrary decision-making, and do
away with the division of powers. Anarchic and despotic features are thus shown
to go together, moreover to be in need of each other.
Note. Regrettably,
I have to point one, extremely odd mistake in somebody whose knowledge of the
Soviet and East European politics is, by all indications, quite remarkable. Suraska puzzlingly writes of
Gheorghiu-Dej (also misspelled), the
Romanian leader, as Bulgarian (p. 128). I think she had in mind Chervenkov, but
made a mistake, not spotted by herself nor the editors.
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